Converging Currents in Climate-Relevant Conservation: Water, Infrastructure, and Institutions |
The difficulty of determining future hydrological conditions based on past records of climate and hydrologic regimes has been the “death of stationarity”, which refers to the assumption that future climate conditions have “predictable uncertainty”; that is, the frequency and severity of flood or drought events can be accurately estimated, allowing water managers (and economists) to manage risk. Climate change undermines this assumption by suggesting that the future holds unpredictable uncertainty. The water resource management community has not yet developed an alternative vision capable of embracing this new reality.
A new article in PLoS Biology, an open-access, peer-reviewed journal that features works of exceptional significance in all areas of biological science, from molecules to ecosystems, including works at the interface with other disciplines.
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